Unwinding of the carry trade not so scary?

May 8, 2007
By Ken Worsley


On Sunday, Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Hiroshi Watanabe came out and said that not only has the size of the so-called ‘carry trade’ been exaggerated, but that concerns over its unwinding has been overblown. Although Watanabe agreed that the carry trade might be valued at $100 billion, he feels that this is such a significantly small portion of the annual $500 trillion worth of trade in currency markets per year that the unloading of those funds would not have a significant impact on Japan’s economy:

It could move the market somewhat for one day, but the world won’t go upside down…The size and the impact of unwinding is over-exaggerated. That’s my understanding.

Watanabe declined to make comments regarding the effect of economic fundamentals on yen-based exchange rates, which we have to say is a wise move for anyone in the government.

Still, if he is right: one day of fun will be better than nothing.

Comments

One Response to “Unwinding of the carry trade not so scary?”

  1. Billy-Buck on May 8th, 2007 6:06 pm

    That is BS.
    The corect number: $100 X 10 = $1.000.000.000.000

    Watanabe declined to make comments regarding the effect
    of economic fundamentals….?
    He is not alowed. Nobody in Japan can do that.

    Japan practicise “beggar your neighbor” - or the rest
    of the world policy.

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